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Mergers and
acquisitions have become an integral part of doing business today. We
cannot say exactly how much activity there is because so many of these
transactions take place between private companies, and few, if any, documents
are made public.
What is known,
however, is that in year 2000 publicly held American companies completed
an amazing 9,566 transactions valued at $1.3 trillion. Worldwide, the
number of transactions increased to 17,424 and reached a whopping $1.9
trillion in value.
One of the
most important strategic decisions that a person has to make as the owner
of a closely held business is whether or not to sell the company. Once
the decision to sell is made, the owner has to determine how to get the
best price for the company.
My goal is
to demonstrate what factors influence the selling price of the company
and what can be done to increase this price.
Each week a new, bigger merger is announced. Why is this taking place?
Growth in the business world, especially in a prosperous period, is critical
to the survival and competitive position of a company in its industry.
A company can
grow internally and through mergers with other businesses. A company in
a maturing industry, in order to compete, has to make investments in technology,
communications, or other assets. With shrinking profit margins due to
competition and a greater need for cash, a capital demand is placed on
the company, which it may not be able to fund through internal growth
alone. In this situation, the company may choose to acquire another company.
In the best-case
scenario, the company will have gained new revenues to amortize the capital
demand, grown much faster than it could have internally, and reduced the
competition in the market place.
One of the most difficult decisions an owner-manager will ever make is
the decision to sell his or her business or merge it into a larger entity.
Ultimately, this will mean relinquishing control, and the decision will
be fraught with emotion.
However, demographics
of our country indicate that more and more business owners will make the
decision to sell. A few years ago, Merrill Lynch conducted a study showing
that sometime in the next decade $7 trillion--that's trillion with a "T"--will
transfer from one generation to the next. A lot of that $7 trillion will
be in the form of business enterprises that have changed hands.
Of course,
when a seller decides that he wants to sell his company, he wants to get
the highest price he can for the company. The price that the buyer will
be willing to pay, and at which a seller would theoretically be willing
to sell, is based on the value of the company today based on expectations
about the future.
Valuation theory
suggests that a business is worth the future cash flow that the company
will generate, based on a formula that takes into account the future growth
rate and a risk-adjusted discount rate. In order for the company to have
a greater future value, it must demonstrate several characteristics.
A company that
demonstrates accelerating growth in its assets and earnings is considered
to be a greater value company because that growth is used to predict the
future cash flow of the company. If the same company shows contraction
in its growth and earnings, that trend will adversely affect the future
cash flow of the company and its inherent value.
Other indicators
of value include comparable company analyses and the implications of minority
equity valuation of appropriate listed companies. Such indicators validate
or refute the decision to buy or sell.
This is fairly
straightforward, and in a perfect world the price at which buyers are
willing to buy and sellers are willing to sell would be the same. However,
coming to an agreement on the future makes price negotiations complex.
When does an
owner know it's the right time to sell? This decision regarding the timing
of an exit may in fact be the single most important driver in attaining
the highest price for an enterprise.

For any business, value is greatest when the stock market is high, and
yields (interest rates) are low. Today, the stock market is at about 11,000,
relatively high, and the prime rate is at 7.0 percent, relatively low.
However, this market and the prime rate are following a substantial market
correction and economic slowdown. Today, buyers are often looking for
distressed sellers and commensurate pricing.
What it also
means is that if the stock market retreats, or the interest rate increases,
a company will be worth less, even if its performance remains unchanged.
In fact, maintaining value will require earnings growth that exceeds the
downward pressure created by a retreating market or increasing interest
rates.
Therefore,
the timing of a transaction relative to the performance of the broader
capital markets can have greater impact on price than the actual performance
of a company. A buyer who can strategically enhance the value of his enterprise
by capturing another company's market share, proprietary technology, or
other strategic advantages will be willing to pay a premium to make the
acquisition.
Indeed, this
desire to gain strategic advantage through acquisition and to prevent
competitors from doing so is one of the drivers of consolidations within
an industry. Today represents the best of all worlds for the sage CEO
who recognizes our current environment as one of unique opportunity, brings
his best skills to bear to prepare a company for sale, engages talented
professional advisors, and reaps tremendous rewards for his efforts.
However, the
path to reaping these rewards, once the decision is made to sell, is not
without peril. The courtship and negotiation of a sale must be handled
with the utmost privacy.
Competitors
are quick to use the news of an impending sale to damage a company in
the marketplace. "Perhaps you should reconsider placing that two-year
contract for kryptonite with Superman Industries. I've heard they're on
the block, and the fulfillment of your contract might suffer." Or, just
as damaging, rumors of a sale can leave your sales and executive ranks
ripe for the picking--putting a dent in revenues and earnings. Likewise,
the knowledge of a pending sale can de-focus management and operations
and adversely impact performance.
These risks
can be mitigated with proper planning and quality advisors. Proper planning
means being very sure of one's decision to sell and then continuing to
run the business as if you were going to be there forever.
Putting together
a quality team comprising experienced investment bankers, legal counsel,
and auditors is key. This team will maintain a confidential environment,
be very judicious about what type of company information is made available,
and perform due diligence on the buyers.
Let me return
to this concept of what information is and is not made available to a
potential buyer. For starters, any potential buyers must be vetted for
their ability and willingness to close a transaction.
Do not waste
time with unqualified buyers. As much due diligence as possible should
be conducted offsite, and certain information, such as customer lists,
is guarded until an agreement is signed.
Confidentiality
agreements are good practice, but do not depend upon them. Suing a competitor
for breach of such an agreement is small recompense after your business
has been damaged and your window of opportunity is closed.

The greater the degree of certainty that the entire price will be paid
at closing, the lower the price that the buyer will be willing to pay
for the company. The reason is that the buyer is basing price on future
performance; the buyer is buying uncertainty. Therefore, as a hedge against
uncertainty of future performance, the buyer seeks to pay a lower price
and has more of the price contingent on future outcomes.
Earn-outs reduce
certainty and increase price. Buyers are often willing to pay a higher
total price if the price is based on demonstrated future performance.
Thus, the earn-out. In actuality, this is favorable from the seller's
standpoint.
I have known
of sellers that have received almost twice as much total price based on
the operation of an earn-out formula. However, there are some things to
watch for; among the most important--"rules of post-acquisition operation."
Simply stated,
a seller should be very wary of relinquishing the operation of the company
to new management during the earn-out period and require that the accounting
principles and methods used post acquisition are the same as those used
pre-acquisition. Otherwise, operations may not maximize earnings, or the
earn-out may be defeated by accounting entries.
Buyers, of course, want to insure as much as they can about the future.
Buyers attempt to maximize representations and warranties about future
realization of assets, absence of undisclosed liabilities, etc.
Since satisfaction
of any of these factors reduces the total amount that the seller realizes
ultimately from the sale of the company, it is in the seller's interest
to limit the nature and duration of the representations and warranties.
If the buyer has done comprehensive due diligence, then the seller's position
should be that there is very little that requires representations or warranties
other than specific uncertainties, since the price incorporates the results
of the extensive due diligence.
Alternatively,
if extraordinary representations and warranties are requested, then query
the need for extensive due diligence. Some escrow of price may be in order.

Continuing management will become the loyal employees of new ownership
after closing. Accordingly, their post-closing performance will affect
their future compensation and bonuses. Predictably, this usually means
that non-ownership management is interested in limiting promises of future
pre-closing performance because a failure to achieve equivalent post-closing
performance will reflect badly on them.
Accordingly,
it is appropriate to consider ways to incorporate incentives for management
to maximize price. The most effective way is to allow management to participate
in the proceeds from the sale based on the magnitude of the selling price
achieved.
One can also
protect management with change in control agreements, employment contracts,
and severance agreements. However, these promises may lower or reallocate
price away from the seller and to non-ownership management. Above all
else, management must run the company effectively prior to sale because
this is essential to maintaining price and proving the reliability of
projected performance. It is entirely possible, indeed likely, that a
transaction may not be closed and yet value will be impaired.

Negotiating skills are necessary to keep as many qualified buyers in the
competition as possible to ensure the seller has real alternatives from
which to choose. Both seller and buyer will bid competitively under the
realization that they might otherwise lose the acquisition.
It is up to
the negotiator to understand each buyer's drivers and present the seller
appropriately in response. The negotiator's responsibility is to maximize
the effective use of time by settling on price as early in the transaction
process as possible by: ·
- Allowing
only qualified buyers to participate in the process ·
- Keeping
the process private and sensitive information restricted as long as
possible ·
- Getting
written expressions of interest to narrow the field ·
- Completing
terms and proposed agreements in principle.
For the seller
it is usually a once-in-a-lifetime event. An able negotiator is necessary
to make it all it can be.

After going through the work required to get a company sold, no one wants
the transaction to fall apart. Accordingly, it is important that all buyer
objections be isolated and addressed as early in the process as possible.
Early on the
seller should establish the buyer's ability to finance the proposed transaction.
I favor getting the issue of price out of the way prior to any due diligence,
essentially by agreeing with the buyer that if all representations are
true, the price will be as agreed upon based on the information provided.
I consider
terms to be a part of price; therefore, it is important to complete terms
as well as price. Certainty of close is enhanced when there are fewer
conditions prior to closing.
This is typically
accomplished by driving more than one buyer through the drafting of an
agreement in principle to ensure that the conditions agreed upon are only
those that are necessary to close a completed transaction.

My objective today has been to discuss in real-world terms the complex
factors and potential pitfalls involved in a successful transaction.
The good news
is that today's active deal flow has created a pool of very experienced
professional advisors. I cannot emphasize enough the importance of a talented
team.
Transactions
are high risk, high reward endeavors. I hope these comments have provided
insight to support you and your clients in recognizing the issues and
pulling together the right team.
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